Téléchargez le livre : Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis
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Description
Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using them to optimize decisions with uncertain outcomes. It discusses how to describe and summarize situations; detect changes; evaluate effects of policies or interventions; learn what works best under different conditions; predict values of as-yet unobserved quantities from available data; and identify the most likely explanations for observed outcomes, including surprises and anomalies. The book resents practical techniques for causal modeling and analytics that practitioners can apply to improve understanding of how choices affect probabilities of consequences and, based on this understanding, to recommend choices that are more likely to accomplish their intended objectives.
The book begins with a survey of modern analytics methods, focusing mainly on techniques useful for decision, risk, and policy analysis. Chapter 2 introduces free in-browser software, including the Causal Analytics Toolkit (CAT) software, to enable readers to perform the analyses described and to apply modern analytics methods easily to their own data sets. Chapters 3 through 11 show how to apply causal analytics and risk analytics to practical risk analysis challenges, mainly related to public and occupational health risks from pathogens in food or from pollutants in air. Chapters 12 through 15 turn to broader questions of how to improve risk management decision-making by individuals, groups, organizations, institutions, and multi-generation societies with different cultures and norms for cooperation. These chapters examine organizational learning, community resilience, societal risk management, and intergenerational collaboration and justice in managing risks.
Pages
588 pages
Collection
International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
Parution
2018-06-19
Marque
Springer
EAN papier
9783319782409
EAN PDF
9783319782423
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
5
Nombre pages imprimables
58
Taille du fichier
13261 Ko
Ce livre est accessible aux handicaps Voir les informations sur l'accessibilité
Prix
385,99 €
EAN EPUB
9783319782423
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
5
Nombre pages imprimables
58
Taille du fichier
38932 Ko
Ce livre est accessible aux handicaps Voir les informations sur l'accessibilité
Prix
385,99 €

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